Market topping - rolling over... 04/13/2012
We have been waiting for a market correction to bring some buying opportunities. I sold a good portion of ESTE - some over $25/share - and will add to my remaining position if we get into the teens. Also I would like to purchse BOFI around $15/$16. And although there has been some insider buying in my favorite "tiny" stock - REPR - there has also been alot of stock showing up at the offer. REPR may well get below 20 cents on a market pullback. I will be adding if and when that happens. So I guess that is my current wish list. I will add more ideas soon. Disclosure: Long ESTE - REPR Add Comment While I did not get near the gains I could have if I held out a little longer, the portfolio did well. However, the fact that the market was up about 6% or so during that period obviously helped greatly. These are the gains from Dec 19th when I mentioned the portfolio stocks to their high during the period: CPE - 21% gain LMLP - 56% gain GPIC - 2% gain MEA - 10.5% gain PDO - 20% gain CRWN - 17.5% gain I sold out of all positions (unfortunately not for nearly the possible gains) but still hold some GPIC as that one has not moved. I will most likely sell out completely in the next week or so. Three other stocks worth mentioning that I bought as part of the portfolio but did not get around to reporting on were TGC, DYSL and BSQR. TGC and DYSL have done outstanding, but I lost a few percent on BSQR (my only loser in this portfolio). I will do this again next year with much more invested (along with a hedge by shorting the market in equal weight). Disclosure: Long GPIC (for now) I am just starting a portfolio of about 5 or 6 stocks that have been knocked down during the course of the year, with tax selling adding pressure. The theory is that small cap stocks that performed poorly through tax loss season will rebound in the first couple of weeks in January - hence the "January Effect". So far the stocks I am looking to acquire for this two or three week trade are: CPE LMLP GPIC MEA PDO CRWN and possibly a couple others. I will buy some this week and then double the position next week. My intention is to sell during the second or third week in January. Disclosure: Will be long most stocks mentioned. Shorting Penny Stocks... 08/27/2011
There is a recent promotion which tells of an "amazing opportunity" in the oil and gas business. The promotion tells you to "buy this stock now in the $2 to $3 range and make $36,000 off only 2000 shares. A ten bagger for sure!!!" The email and mailer brochure tells how this unknown oil and gas player is sticking it to the big players because they were able to pick up huge reserves for nothing. It mentions the hot buzzword "bakken" about a hundred times (because that is the hottest phrase in oil and gas at present). Then when you get to the disclaimer of this glowing report it tells you that a third party is paying $125,000 for the promotion. The stock being promoted is LOGL - Legend oil and gas. The stock has started perking up again on heavy volume since this new promote started about 2 weeks ago. As it loses steam, the stock will more than likely dump (I have never seen a paid promote succeed long term). I am starting a short position in LOGL. I expect this promote will end exactly the same as the 1000's of others over the years... BTW - if you want a real junior explorer that is teaming up with Brigham Exploration in the Bakken, look at my favorite ESTE Earthstone Energy. Their last well, which they have a 4% stake, just hit for 3,900 barrels a day initial production. Disclosure: Long ESTE - Short LOGL ESTE - Earthstone puts out nice numbers... 08/13/2011
Earthstone Energy does 39 cents a share for the quarter. At $13/share the forward P/E ratio is now about 8 with growth in production on the way. Ray Singleton - the CEO - said new capital expenditures should double this year, meaning a lot more well interests and a lot more production. Of Earthstone's partners, Brigham Exploration is really starting to drill in the Banks area. There are four additional wells that are coming online. ESTE has a 5.5% to 2% interest in these new wells. ****Dislosure: Long ESTE - we may buy more or sell at anytime. BOFI - parent company of Bankofinternet.com did indeed come through at 50 cents as the CEO hinted during an investor conference last week. Growth in their mortgage origination business and deposits lead the highlights of the quarter. I picked up a few shares during the market blood bath in the past few days and sold a few into todays earnings spike. The stock was up nearly 20% at one point. This company is an exciting franchise and still - by far - my number one pick. ****Disclosure: Long stock - (may buy or sell at anytime) Short List - 08/06/2011
While I like shorting the overinflated promotion stocks - usually otcbb and pink - this week you could have pretty much shot the fish in the barrel. I was short LOGL - Legend oil and gas - and covered for a small gain. I will be looking for shares of VXX if it stays in the 30 plus range. VXX decays badly and the Vix does not stay high forever. It could be an interesting week since the US has been downgraded. |
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